Skeptics Predictions - 2007

Magazine Overview

Title: Skeptics Predictions for 2006
Issue Date: 2006
Volume: 15
Publisher: Phoenix Skeptics
Country: USA
Language: English

This issue of 'Skeptics Predictions for 2006' details the results of the Phoenix Skeptics' annual prognostication meeting, held on December 2, 2007. The organization has been conducting this experiment for fifteen years, aiming to demonstrate that informed individuals can predict future events without supernatural abilities. The issue highlights their success rate from the previous year and presents a comprehensive list of predictions for 2007.

Predictions Meeting Results

The membership of the Phoenix Skeptics produced a list of predictions for the upcoming 14 months and beyond. In their fifteenth year of this experiment, they reported a hit rate of 88.33% for general predictions, with 53 out of 60 answers being correct. Their 'Hall of Fame' predictions, which consist of events that have proven consistently predictable, achieved a perfect 100% hit rate with 13 out of 13 correct.

Notable hits from 2006 included the Mark Foley scandal, the Democratic Party's victory in the November elections, the e. coli outbreak in raw spinach, Mel Gibson's racist remarks, and the stock market reaching a record high.

The group's core thesis is that a dozen or so well-informed individuals can accurately predict near-future events, challenging the efficacy of professional psychics. They question whether psychics' powers are faulty or if they are simply not as well-informed as the Skeptics' members.

Hall of Fame Predictions

For their tenth year of predictions, the format was slightly adjusted, continuing with over fifty predictions for 2007. The 'Hall of Fame' category features predictions that have been consistently accurate, suggesting a high probability of future success. These include:

1. Jesus Christ will not return to Earth.
2. A major sports figure will be involved in a sex scandal.
3. O. J. Simpson's search for his ex-wife's murderer will remain fruitless.
4. Last year's World Series winner will not repeat.
5. Last year's Super Bowl winner will not repeat.
6. Scientists will discover a new comet.
7. Advances in cloning technology will spark an ethics debate.
8. Abortion will become a prominent topic of debate.
9. The House of Windsor will face death-related issues.
10. A politician's career will end due to a sex scandal.
11. A major new dinosaur species will be discovered.
12. Bigfoot and Yeti will continue to elude capture.
13. The age of the Universe will continue to increase.

Predictions for 2006 and Beyond

The issue then lists numerous predictions for 2006 and beyond, categorized as follows:

• World News:
• Turkish Army involvement in the Middle East conflict.
• A reversion to monarchy is unlikely in Iraq.
• Iraqi partition becomes more probable.
• Cuba embraces democracy.
• Darfur gains international prominence.
• Iraqi civil war accelerates.
• Assassins unexpectedly end a politician's career.
• Political tensions in Mexico.
• The Castro regime remains in power in Cuba.
• A leadership shakeup affects a close US ally.

• War on Terror:
• An iPod ban fails to impact North Korea.
• Israel attacks Iranian nuclear capabilities.
• Terrorists launch an attack on American soil.

• U.S. News:
• McCain's presidential hopes fade.
• Global Warming causes a firefight in Washington, DC.
• US officials avoid war crimes indictments.
• Kissinger avoids travel to France.
• The 'Governator' is ineligible to run for President.
• Democratic candidates dominate the presidential race.
• The Supreme Court addresses Global Warming.
• CEO pay rates increase significantly.
• Dick Cheney resigns due to health reasons.
• Rats abandon the White House cabinet.
• Volcanic activity threatens a national monument.
• A major earthquake causes a crisis in the continental United States.
• A major redesign of US currency.

• Entertainment:
• Bollywood gains popularity in the American entertainment scene.
• The Dixie Chicks regain fans and strength.
• A major conservative talk host loses influence.
• Rush Limbaugh's career enters remission.
• Katie Couric remains in the anchor chair for another year.
• '60 Minutes' loses another anchor.
• Lindsey Lohan engages in a short-lived marriage.

• Economy:
• Oil prices spike globally.
• The Dow average reaches 13000.
• Explosive growth in hybrid car sales.
• Halliburton is indicted for war profiteering.
• A federal minimum wage increase is passed.
• Drug prices rise.
• A new drug for erectile dysfunction becomes available.
• GM faces bankruptcy.

• Sports:
• A new Cardinals coach has a successful debut season.
• New uniforms do not improve the Arizona Diamondbacks.
• A major NASCAR celebrity faces death.

• Arizona News:
• Controversy surrounds the Arizona 9/11 memorial.
• The Arizona Water Conservation board faces a crisis.
• Home schooling becomes widely popular in Arizona.
• Controversy continues to affect Arizona state government.
• Phoenix Light Rail is delayed beyond 2007.

• Science and Technology:
• Global Warming is linked to dinosaur extinctions.
• New animal species are discovered.
• 'Smart wheels' promise automotive design revolution.
• A nearby supernova occurs.
• Evidence of extraterrestrial life is revealed.

Recurring Themes and Editorial Stance

The recurring theme throughout the issue is the power of informed prediction based on logical analysis rather than supernatural or pseudoscientific means. The Phoenix Skeptics position themselves as a rational counterpoint to what they perceive as less reliable methods, such as those employed by psychics. Their stance is one of empirical validation and a belief in the predictive capabilities of well-informed individuals. The editorial tone is confident and slightly dismissive of alternative predictive methods, emphasizing their own consistent accuracy.