Magazine Summary
The Skeptic
Summary
This issue of The Skeptic examines the misuse of scientific evidence in legal proceedings, highlighting the Christophersen v. Allied-Signal Corp. case and the importance of scientific validity and reliability. It also chronicles the consistent failure of psychics to make accurate predictions, as documented by the Bay Area Skeptics. Additionally, the newsletter critiques 'Aerobic Training Eyeglasses' and discusses the controversy surrounding televangelist Robert Tilton's finances and practices.
Magazine Overview
Title: The Skeptic
Issue: Volume 6 Number 3
Date: March 1992
Publisher: The North Texas Skeptics
Focus: This issue of The Skeptic, published by The North Texas Skeptics, delves into various topics related to skepticism, pseudoscience, and critical thinking. It features articles on legal issues surrounding scientific evidence, the unreliability of psychic predictions, and critiques of pseudoscientific products and practices.
Junk Science and the Courts: Not All Bad News
This article, authored by John Thomas, addresses the issue of "junk science" in legal trials. Thomas reviews Peter Huber's book "Galileo's Revenge: Junk Science in the Courtroom," which details the misuse of scientific evidence in product liability, medical malpractice, and toxic tort cases. However, Thomas notes a growing reaction against this trend, with legal commentators and judges recognizing the need for reform. He highlights the thinking of Bert Black, who argues that scientific evidence admissibility should be based on both "validity" (sound reasoning) and "reliability" (probability of a correct outcome). Black proposes that courts should examine the expert's reasoning and methodology against scientific consensus, aligning with the standard set in *Frye v. United States*. The article cites the *Christophersen v. Allied-Signal Corp.* case in the US Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals as an example where this principle was applied, overturning a previous stance that such matters were solely for jury consideration. Thomas argues that judges are capable of evaluating scientific methodology, citing patent litigation and the *McLean v. Arkansas Board of Education* case as examples. He concludes that disputes about novel scientific evidence should not be left to baffled jurors without proper guidance on scientific validity.
Psychics' predictions fizzle for 1991
Reprinted from the Bay Area Skeptics' newsletter, this article chronicles the inaccurate predictions made by various psychics for the year 1991. It points out that psychics often issue new predictions annually, conveniently forgetting their previous failures. The article analyzes numerous predictions from well-known psychics like Jeane Dixon, Lou Wright, Maria Graciette, Tony Leggett, and Judy Hevenly. Many predictions are found to be vague, difficult to verify, or describe events that happen routinely. The article highlights that none of the genuinely surprising news events of 1991—such as the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Saddam Hussein's oil spills, the California wildfires, or the arrest of Pee-Wee Herman—were predicted by any psychic, suggesting a lack of genuine precognitive ability. The Bay Area Skeptics urge the media and the public to exercise healthy skepticism towards paranormal claims.
The third eye
This column by Pat Reeder discusses the upcoming CSICOP Convention in Dallas and seeks volunteers to help organize it. Reeder also proposes creating a map for convention visitors, including attractions that would appeal to scientists and philosophers, beyond typical tourist sites. Suggestions for attractions like the Biblical Arts Center, Word Of Faith, Robert Tilton billboards, and the Dianetics billboard are mentioned. The author invites readers to submit their suggestions for the map and for a potential special CSICOP Convention issue of *The Skeptic*.
Robert Tilton Controversy
This section, seemingly a continuation of a column, delves into the controversies surrounding televangelist Robert Tilton. It details his legal battles with Texas Attorney General Dan Morales over his financial records, Tilton's attempts to evade scrutiny, and his public pronouncements that framed legal challenges as vindication. The article references a *Dallas Observer* piece that reportedly uncovered details about Tilton's past, including alleged plagiarism and a history of questionable practices. It contrasts Tilton with "Yellow Kid" Weil, a famous con man, to question Tilton's morals. The author criticizes Tilton's "prosperity theology" and his targeting of vulnerable individuals, likening his actions to a "classic con game" and suggesting that laws against bunco artists should be enforced. The piece also touches on the followers' unwavering support for Tilton, comparing him to Jesus.
British Skepticism and Alternative Medicine
This segment shifts focus to Great Britain, discussing the findings of Scotland Yard's detective-chief superintendent Eddie Ellison regarding the use of psychics in police investigations. Ellison's year-long study concluded that psychics offered no effective help and were not invited to assist in investigations, with any volunteered information being evaluated and ultimately proving useless. The article also touches on the Royal Family's engagement with alternative medicine, mentioning the Duchess of York consulting a spiritual healer and Prince Charles visiting a holistic healer in India.
Vision claims for laser specs full of holes
Authored by Mike Sullivan, this article debunks the claims made for "Aerobic Training Eyeglasses" and similar pinhole glasses. Advertised as a way to improve vision naturally in minutes a day, these glasses are sold by various mail-order firms. The article cites consumer protection agencies, postal inspectors, and medical professionals who have taken an interest. It explains that looking through pinholes increases depth-of-field but significantly reduces visual field and brightness, making them dangerous for activities like driving. Dr. Bruce E. Spivey of the American Academy of Ophthalmology states there is no data to support the claims, and Dr. Gorski criticizes the use of the term "Aerobic" as a marketing ploy. Dr. Walter Chase of the California College of Optometry explains that pinhole glasses do not alter the eyeball's shape, which is the cause of nearsightedness or farsightedness.
Letter to Betty Epstein
This is a letter from Mike Sullivan of The North Texas Skeptics to Betty Epstein of the American Society of Dowsers. Sullivan expresses interest in the dowsing claims reported in *The Dallas Morning News* and offers the North Texas Skeptics as a public forum for dowsers to present proof of their abilities. He highlights the organization's dedication to scientific inquiry and offers opportunities for dowsers to speak at meetings or submit articles to *The Skeptic* newsletter. The letter also mentions a $2,000 cash award for anyone who can prove a paranormal effect under scientifically controlled conditions.
Letter from Bette Epstein
Bette Epstein responds to Mike Sullivan's invitation, declining to participate in a "show and tell" for the North Texas Skeptics. She states she has a successful hypnotherapy practice and tithes to charities, thus not needing the offered money. Epstein asserts that her belief in dowsing and "energies" is a vital part of her life and not dependent on others' belief. She offers to teach dowsing to the club if they are interested in developing their "gifts of the spirit." Her closing remark is "May the most joyous days of your past be the darkest days of your future."
Up a tree: a skeptical cartoon
A short, single-panel cartoon by Laura Ainsworth depicts three owls. The first owl announces, "ATTENTION, FELLOW SKEPTICS. THE CSICOP CONVENTION IS COMING TO DALLAS THIS YEAR." The second owl looks surprised. The third owl asks, "CAN YOU BELIEVE IT?"
Recurring Themes and Editorial Stance
The recurring themes in this issue of *The Skeptic* revolve around the critical examination of extraordinary claims, the promotion of scientific literacy, and the debunking of pseudoscience. The North Texas Skeptics, through its articles and letters, consistently advocates for evidence-based reasoning, rigorous scientific methodology, and a healthy dose of skepticism towards claims that lack empirical support. The editorial stance is clearly in favor of rational inquiry and against the acceptance of unsubstantiated beliefs, whether they manifest as "junk science" in court, unfulfilled psychic predictions, or pseudoscientific products and practices. The newsletter actively engages with organizations and individuals who promote skepticism and provides a platform for discussing and challenging claims that fall outside the realm of established science.
Purveyors of miracles generally prey on the elderly, the chronically ill, the bereaved, and the destitute people whose problems are so insurmountable that only a miracle can help. I have no desire to take away their hopes, and I pray that they receive their miracle. But when someone comes along and takes their last dime (Tilton has publicly encouraged viewers to empty out their savings accounts and send him the money), promising a miracle in return, then leaves them in worse straights than before, that sounds to me like a classic con game.
Key Incidents
Christophersen v. Allied-Signal Corp. case where a plaintiff's expert's reasoning was deemed a 'scientific hunch' and not admissible.
Many psychic predictions for 1991, including those by Jeane Dixon, Lou Wright, Maria Graciette, Tony Leggett, Judy Hevenly, and Clarisa Bernhardt, were found to be inaccurate or vague.
Saddam Hussein deliberately causing one of the world's largest oil spills and torching Kuwait's oil fields.
The most destructive wildfire in California history devastating the Oakland and Berkeley hills.
The arrest of Pee-Wee Herman for 'indecent exposure'.
A highly-publicized rape trial involving a member of the Kennedy family.
A military coup in the Kremlin that was defeated almost bloodlessly by supporters of democracy, followed by the dissolution of the Soviet Union.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the main argument regarding 'junk science' in the courts?
The article argues that while litigants have abused scientific evidence, there is a growing reaction against 'junk science' and 'hired-gun' experts, with a call for stricter rules of evidence based on scientific validity and reliability.
What is the Bay Area Skeptics' stance on psychic predictions?
The Bay Area Skeptics document the consistent failure of psychics to make accurate predictions, urging skepticism towards their claims and highlighting that genuinely surprising news events are rarely predicted.
What are the concerns raised about 'Aerobic Training Eyeglasses'?
The article states that 'Aerobic Training Eyeglasses' and similar pinhole specs lack scientific data to support their claims of improving eyesight, and that they can be dangerous due to reduced visual field and brightness.
What is the North Texas Skeptics' offer to dowsers?
The North Texas Skeptics offer a $2,000 cash award to anyone who can prove a paranormal effect under scientifically controlled conditions, and are willing to provide a public forum for dowsers to present their claims.
In This Issue
People Mentioned
- John ThomasAuthor, Former President of the North Texas Skeptics, Technical Advisor
- Peter HuberAuthor of Galileo's Revenge: Junk Science in the Courtroom
- Bert BlackAuthor of "A Unified Theory of Scientific Evidence"
- Dr. MillerPlaintiff's expert in Christophersen v. Allied-Signal Corp.
- Judge OvertonJudge in McLean v. Arkansas Board of Education
- Saddam HusseinSubject of psychic predictions
- Pope John Paul IISubject of psychic predictions
- Tom CruiseSubject of psychic predictions
- Jeane DixonPsychic
- Jean-Francois AristideSubject of psychic predictions
- Lou WrightPsychic
- Maria GraciettePsychic
- +8 more
Organisations
- The North Texas Skeptics
- Bay Area Skeptics
- US Fifth Circuit Court of Appeals
- American Society of Dowsers
- CSICOP
- Greater Dallas—Ft. Worth Area Council Against Health Fraud
- American Academy of Ophthalmology
- The Dallas Morning News
- Associated Press
- Scotland Yard
Locations
- New Orleans, USA
- Texas, USA
- San Francisco, USA
- Los Angeles, USA
- Grand Prairie, USA
- Arkansas, USA
- Haiti, Haiti
- Middle East
- Grand Canyon, USA
- Washington D.C., USA
- Lebanon, Lebanon
- China, China
- Korea, Korea
- Japan, Japan
- +6 more